Caixin: SpaceX's IPO may have a free-floating market value between $440 billion and $530 billion on its first day

Caixin published an article titled "SpaceX's $1.75 Trillion IPO is Coming: Who Can Buy and Is It Worth It?" which pointed out that Wall Street has never encountered an IPO of such a massive scale that is also so intricately linked to the U.S. government.

Previously, Nasdaq had approved a new rule for "Fast Entry," allowing newly listed companies to be quickly included in the Nasdaq 100 if their market capitalization ranks in the top 40 of the Nasdaq 100 index within 15 trading days after listing. This rule will officially take effect on May 1, 2026, and is considered to be designed with the upcoming SpaceX listing in mind, while also paving the way for potential listings of OpenAI and Anthropic within 2026 or 2027.

Assuming SpaceX lists with a valuation of $1.75 trillion and a free float ratio of 25% to 30%, the free float market capitalization on the first day of the IPO would be approximately between $440 billion and $530 billion. Based on the weight calculations for the Nasdaq 100, SpaceX would directly enter the top ten weighted stocks. Market news indicates that S&P 500 is also evaluating some form of "Fast Entry" plan, with details yet to be disclosed.

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